How have the experts’ predictions held up over time?

I’ve taken their first public predictions and put them in a chart to compare them against the reality (count updated daily).  I also put my first prediction in there for reference (where a range was provided I’ve taken the mid-point of the range).

Memes like this one haven’t aged so well, have they?

3 thoughts on “ Tracking Predictions ”

  1. Jeff, glad your Mom and Dad are feeling better. What I would like to see is a break down of the current 40,700 .Were all those death directly related to this flu ?

  2. Just a question. What are the sources for your data? I am curious as it makes me want to follow the comorbidity even closer.

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